Vard vs Ålgård analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
VAR
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 1
ASA
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAN
2 - 1
VAR
19%
21%
60%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 2
GRO
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 2
EGE
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 6
EGE
31%
24%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LYN
0 - 1
ALG
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 2
VID
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
ALG
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
4 - 2
STA
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |