Varaviksne vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varaviksne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
RIG
3 - 0
VAR
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
RCR
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
GUL
1 - 1
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 3
VAL
48%
25%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FKD
0 - 2
VAR
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 1
SMI
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
RIG
6 - 0
SMI
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 0
SMI
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
RCR
7 - 0
SMI
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -3 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FKT
4 - 2
SMI
48%
22%
30%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |