J3 League Normal Season Round 4

Vanraure Hachinohe vs Kataller Toyama analysis

Vanraure Hachinohe Kataller Toyama
57 ELO 61
-8.1% Tilt -2%
2449º General ELO ranking 1784º
44º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
25.6%
Vanraure Hachinohe
26.2%
Draw
48.2%
Kataller Toyama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
Vanraure Hachinohe
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.2%
Win probability
Kataller Toyama
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vanraure Hachinohe
+30%
-29%
Kataller Toyama

Points and table prediction

Vanraure Hachinohe
Their league position
Kataller Toyama
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
20º
11º
64
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RB Omiya Ardija
85
85
100%
Imabari
73
73
100%
Kataller Toyama
64
64
100%
Matsumoto Yamaga
60
60
100%
Fukushima United
59
59
100%
Osaka
58
58
100%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
56
56
100%
Gifu
53
53
0%
Sagamihara
53
53
0%
Azul Claro Numazu
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Vanraure Hachinohe
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Gainare Tottori
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Zweigen Kanazawa
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Ryūkyū
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
15º
46
46
15º
100%
Kamatamare Sanuki
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Nara Club
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Parceiro Nagano
18º
37
37
18º
100%
YSCC
19º
32
32
19º
100%
Grulla Morioka
20º
22
22
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vanraure Hachinohe
Kataller Toyama
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vanraure Hachinohe
Kataller Toyama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vanraure Hachinohe
Vanraure Hachinohe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2024
VAN
Vanraure Hachinohe
0 - 0
Zweigen Kanazawa
ZWE
51%
23%
26%
56 51 5 0
02 Mar. 2024
SAG
Sagamihara
1 - 0
Vanraure Hachinohe
VAN
38%
27%
35%
57 55 2 -1
24 Feb. 2024
OMI
RB Omiya Ardija
4 - 1
Vanraure Hachinohe
VAN
45%
25%
30%
58 56 2 -1
02 Dec. 2023
VAN
Vanraure Hachinohe
0 - 0
Sagamihara
SAG
51%
26%
24%
59 56 3 -1
26 Nov. 2023
EHI
Ehime
1 - 2
Vanraure Hachinohe
VAN
60%
23%
17%
58 65 7 +1

Matches

Kataller Toyama
Kataller Toyama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2024
KAT
Kataller Toyama
2 - 1
Montedio Yamagata
MON
30%
23%
46%
61 71 10 0
09 Mar. 2024
KAT
Kataller Toyama
1 - 1
Nara Club
NAR
51%
25%
24%
62 61 1 -1
02 Mar. 2024
KAM
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 - 0
Kataller Toyama
KAT
18%
24%
59%
62 51 11 0
25 Feb. 2024
YSC
YSCC
1 - 1
Kataller Toyama
KAT
32%
26%
42%
62 56 6 0
18 Feb. 2024
ZWE
Zweigen Kanazawa
1 - 4
Kataller Toyama
KAT
28%
23%
49%
61 54 7 +1