Vänersborgs FK vs Haga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
14º
11º
17
11º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 55 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 48 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 33 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 32 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 23 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 2
VFK
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
VFK
2 - 1
KUM
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
HER
3 - 0
VFK
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
VFK
1 - 0
IKT
33%
22%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
VFK
2 - 3
SFC
90%
7%
3%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Haga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
IFH
2 - 3
SFC
88%
9%
4%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
IKT
1 - 2
IFH
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FBK
3 - 0
IFH
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 0
VAN
21%
20%
60%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
IFH
2 - 0
GRE
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +4 |