Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-9
Valur Reykjavík vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
55.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
FRA
2 - 3
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1975 |
VAL
1 - 0
IAA
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
IBV
1 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
VAL
1 - 2
FHH
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1975 |
VIK
1 - 2
VAL
41%
25%
33%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
MHE
1 - 1
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1975 |
STE
0 - 2
CEL
19%
20%
61%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
CEL
4 - 0
DUN
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
GLA
2 - 1
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
ABE
0 - 2
CEL
59%
19%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |