Valpovka vs Graničar Županja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
11º
8º
5
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valpovka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NKS
2 - 0
VAL
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
TDA
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 0
VAL
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 5
NKK
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BED
3 - 0
VAL
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Graničar Županja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TDA
6 - 0
GRA
49%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 1
NKK
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 4
GRA
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
SLA
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
4 - 0
GRA
67%
19%
15%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |