Valmiera FC vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
8º
4º
40
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
PAR
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
FSM
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
7 - 0
TPE
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
TPE
0 - 3
VAL
27%
23%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 0
FKJ
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
FKJ
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
3 - 2
LIE
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 3
RIG
12%
18%
70%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 2
SUP
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |