Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 4
VAL
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
VAL
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 3
VAL
22%
21%
57%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
VAL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
BFC
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
BFC
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |