Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
FKJ
2 - 2
VAL
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LIE
2 - 0
VAL
50%
23%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
FKS
52%
23%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 0
FKT
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
BFC
0 - 0
VEN
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 2
RIG
11%
19%
70%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
73%
19%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 0
FSM
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FKT
2 - 1
BFC
61%
21%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |