Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
10 - 1
KAL
87%
10%
4%
|
57 | 13 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
7 - 0
LIE
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 10 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 1
SAL
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
VAL
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
VAL
7 - 2
RCR
81%
13%
7%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
BFC
0 - 1
FKS
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
VEN
3 - 0
BFC
73%
19%
9%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
FSM
2 - 1
BFC
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FKJ
2 - 0
BFC
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |