Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 5-2
Valletta FC vs Keflavik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 3
SLI
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
HIB
0 - 0
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -3 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FLO
0 - 2
VAL
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
VAL
4 - 1
BIR
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
GRI
1 - 1
KEF
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
KEF
3 - 2
THR
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
KEF
3 - 1
FJO
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
KEF
2 - 0
EIN
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
KRR
4 - 1
KEF
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |