UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 2-7
Valletta FC vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
VAL
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
8 - 0
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
QOR
4 - 3
VAL
20%
21%
60%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
HIB
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FLO
0 - 1
VAL
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
MET
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
0 - 1
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
CRV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 4
PAR
14%
24%
62%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
BSK
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |