UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 2-4
Valletta FC vs Ekranas Panevezys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
TFI
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 3
VAL
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
FLO
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TAR
0 - 1
VAL
19%
21%
60%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 2
TAR
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
FKE
0 - 0
KRU
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
FBK
0 - 1
FKE
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
FKL
0 - 1
FKE
12%
21%
67%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
FKE
5 - 0
MAZ
80%
15%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
FKE
1 - 0
DAI
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |