Valken '68 vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valken '68
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
VAL
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 2
HAA
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GHC
2 - 2
VAL
54%
21%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 3
DSO
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HBO
0 - 2
VAL
62%
19%
18%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SWI
3 - 0
HAA
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DEL
3 - 0
SWI
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -3 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 1
FSP
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VOO
1 - 1
SWI
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 1
SPO
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |