Valken '68 vs Den Hoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
10º
5º
34
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valken '68
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 4
VAL
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 2
FSP
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DSO
1 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 1
VOO
36%
21%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
VUC
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Den Hoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SVD
3 - 0
VUC
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SVD
2 - 1
SVD
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 0
VEL
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UVS
0 - 0
SVD
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SVD
1 - 2
NOO
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |