De Valk vs Venray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
OJC
1 - 2
DEV
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DEV
4 - 0
DES
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
DEV
2 - 1
NUE
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 2
DEV
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MEE
4 - 1
DEV
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VEN
2 - 1
DIJ
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
OJC
2 - 1
VEN
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DES
5 - 2
VEN
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 3
EHC
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
VEN
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |