De Valk vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
DEV
2 - 3
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DEV
2 - 1
NUE
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
UDI
3 - 1
DEV
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DEV
2 - 1
EHC
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GEM
1 - 1
DEV
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 2
DON
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
OJC
43%
24%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DON
4 - 1
GRO
49%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 1
DON
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BLA
2 - 0
DON
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |