De Valk vs Baronie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DEV
2 - 1
NUE
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
UDI
3 - 1
DEV
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DEV
2 - 1
EHC
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GEM
1 - 1
DEV
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RKS
1 - 1
DEV
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
UDI
2 - 2
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
5 - 3
EHC
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GEM
3 - 1
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 3
BLA
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 0
RKS
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |