Valerenga IF vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
15º
14º
39
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LSK
2 - 0
VIF
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIF
1 - 2
BBS
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SDF
1 - 2
VIF
30%
26%
43%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
VIF
2 - 4
BOG
16%
21%
63%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BOG
4 - 2
VIF
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RBK
1 - 1
STB
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
S08
5 - 2
RBK
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LSK
3 - 0
RBK
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RBK
1 - 1
BOG
28%
23%
49%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
3 - 1
RBK
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |