Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 2-2
Valerenga IF vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
VIF
0 - 3
ODD
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 0
VIF
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
VIF
3 - 1
MJO
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
ELP
3 - 2
VIF
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
VIF
1 - 2
RBK
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
PAO
1 - 0
LAR
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PAN
4 - 1
PAO
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
AEK
3 - 1
PAO
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAO
0 - 1
AEK
48%
26%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
LAR
0 - 2
PAO
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |