Valenzana Calcio vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenzana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
USP
1 - 0
VAL
56%
25%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
USA
12%
24%
65%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
VAL
80%
15%
5%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 3
SAN
22%
26%
52%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 0
VAL
72%
19%
10%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
PRO
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACD
0 - 0
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 1
CUN
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
USP
0 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAV
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |