French League U19 Group A Round 22

Valenciennes U19 vs Caen U19 analysis

Valenciennes U19 Caen U19
28 ELO 30
-7.5% Tilt -8.3%
8002º General ELO ranking 6079º
266º Country ELO ranking 163º
ELO win probability
46.9%
Valenciennes U19
23.2%
Draw
29.9%
Caen U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
Valenciennes U19
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.9%
Win probability
Caen U19
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valenciennes U19
+8%
+68%
Caen U19

Points and table prediction

Valenciennes U19
Their league position
Caen U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
33
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lens U19
58
58
100%
PSG U19
52
52
100%
Amiens SC U19
51
51
100%
Montfermeil U19
47
47
100%
Lille U19
37
37
100%
Stade de Reims U19
36
36
100%
Le Havre U19
35
35
100%
USL Dunkerque U19
34
34
100%
Valenciennes U19
33
33
0%
Caen U19
10º
33
33
10º
0%
USM Saran U19
11º
33
33
11º
0%
Orléans U19
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Gonfreville U19
13º
19
19
13º
100%
Drancy U19
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Valenciennes U19
Caen U19
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Valenciennes U19
Caen U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valenciennes U19
Valenciennes U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
GON
Gonfreville U19
1 - 2
Valenciennes U19
VAL
23%
21%
57%
29 20 9 0
05 Mar. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes U19
0 - 1
Lens U19
LEN
26%
22%
52%
30 37 7 -1
12 Feb. 2023
LIL
Lille U19
1 - 2
Valenciennes U19
VAL
57%
21%
22%
29 31 2 +1
05 Feb. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes U19
1 - 1
Amiens SC U19
AMI
28%
23%
49%
28 36 8 +1
21 Jan. 2023
REI
Stade de Reims U19
3 - 0
Valenciennes U19
VAL
36%
24%
40%
30 25 5 -2

Matches

Caen U19
Caen U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
DRA
Drancy U19
1 - 0
Caen U19
CAE
30%
23%
46%
29 24 5 0
05 Mar. 2023
CAE
Caen U19
1 - 3
Gonfreville U19
GON
81%
12%
7%
30 19 11 -1
12 Feb. 2023
LEN
Lens U19
3 - 0
Caen U19
CAE
61%
20%
20%
31 37 6 -1
05 Feb. 2023
CAE
Caen U19
1 - 1
Lille U19
LIL
50%
22%
28%
31 31 0 0
22 Jan. 2023
AMI
Amiens SC U19
1 - 2
Caen U19
CAE
66%
18%
16%
30 37 7 +1