Valenciennes vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
NÎM
2 - 1
VAL
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
VAL
3 - 0
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
GIR
1 - 0
VAL
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
VAL
0 - 0
SFP
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
LIL
1 - 1
VAL
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
TFC
1 - 1
REN
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
LEN
1 - 1
TFC
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
TFC
3 - 2
LYO
46%
24%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
TFC
1 - 0
NÎM
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
STR
5 - 3
TFC
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |