Valenciennes vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LEN
3 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
VAL
3 - 1
REN
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LMU
3 - 2
VAL
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
VAL
0 - 0
PSG
25%
30%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
AUX
1 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 1
LIL
34%
29%
37%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
LOR
3 - 1
NAN
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 1
TRO
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 3
LYO
24%
26%
49%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |