Valenciennes vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
TFC
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AUX
2 - 0
VAL
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
REN
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 3
REN
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LIL
4 - 0
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ETG
1 - 3
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 1
ETG
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ETG
0 - 3
LIL
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AUX
0 - 2
ETG
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ETG
2 - 3
SOC
50%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |