Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
LMU
0 - 2
VAL
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
LYO
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
MPL
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
LHA
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GAR
0 - 1
BAS
5%
17%
78%
|
71 | 29 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 1
SOC
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 2
LYO
17%
23%
61%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |