Valencia de Leogane vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
65.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 1
AIG
46%
28%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 1
VAL
39%
31%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
PET
1 - 0
VAL
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 0
RAC
40%
30%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 6
CSH
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 2
CAZ
29%
26%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 0
CSH
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 1
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VER
3 - 2
CAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |