Valencia de Leogane vs Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
16.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.4%
24.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AIG
0 - 1
VAL
37%
31%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
VAL
42%
30%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
FIC
39%
30%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TEM
2 - 1
VAL
47%
28%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
VAL
39%
32%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
AME
41%
31%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
TEM
1 - 2
BAL
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
AIG
45%
30%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FIC
0 - 3
BAL
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
VAL
39%
32%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |