Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
VCF
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VCF
2 - 2
GET
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
VCF
2 - 0
BAR
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
EIB
1 - 1
VCF
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
VCF
0 - 2
LYO
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
RMA
3 - 1
RSO
85%
11%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
RMA
10 - 2
RAY
84%
11%
5%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
RMA
14%
20%
67%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
RMA
8 - 0
MFF
88%
9%
3%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
RMA
4 - 1
GET
84%
11%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |