Copa del Rey Quarter-finals

Global 1-2

Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis

Valencia Real Madrid
85 ELO 90
2% Tilt -5.4%
50º General ELO ranking
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35%
Valencia
26.6%
Draw
38.5%
Real Madrid

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
Valencia
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.5%
Win probability
Real Madrid
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Valencia
Real Madrid
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 1992
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
Mallorca
MLL
73%
19%
8%
85 76 9 0
16 Feb. 1992
RBU
Real Burgos CF
2 - 1
Valencia
VCF
33%
29%
38%
85 78 7 0
09 Feb. 1992
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
Albacete
ALB
70%
19%
11%
85 76 9 0
06 Feb. 1992
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Valencia
VCF
80%
14%
7%
85 90 5 0
02 Feb. 1992
DEP
RC Deportivo
0 - 1
Valencia
VCF
36%
28%
36%
85 78 7 0

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 1992
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
22%
25%
54%
90 81 9 0
16 Feb. 1992
RMA
Real Madrid
5 - 0
Athletic
ATH
86%
10%
4%
90 80 10 0
09 Feb. 1992
VAD
Real Valladolid
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
16%
24%
60%
90 79 11 0
06 Feb. 1992
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Valencia
VCF
80%
14%
7%
90 85 5 0
02 Feb. 1992
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
90%
8%
3%
90 73 17 0