Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
SEV
0 - 2
VCF
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATH
37%
30%
33%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
OSA
2 - 0
VCF
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
27%
26%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
ZAR
2 - 1
VCF
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
HER
2 - 3
BET
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
RSO
6 - 0
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
HER
0 - 1
SPO
44%
30%
26%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 2
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
HER
0 - 3
RMA
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |