Valencia vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
UDL
1 - 0
VCF
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
BET
2 - 0
VCF
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
RSO
2 - 0
VCF
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1959 |
GRA
3 - 1
VCF
45%
24%
32%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
ESP
1 - 1
BET
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
RMA
4 - 0
ESP
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
ESP
4 - 2
RSO
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
GRA
1 - 0
ESP
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
ATM
5 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |