UCL Group F Round 5

Valencia vs Bayern München analysis

Valencia Bayern München
89 ELO 93
11.1% Tilt -5%
51º General ELO ranking
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.2%
Valencia
22.9%
Draw
48.9%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
Valencia
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.9%
Win probability
Bayern München
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valencia
+3%
-2%
Bayern München

ELO progression

Valencia
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2012
VCF
Valencia
2 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
75%
16%
9%
89 84 5 0
11 Nov. 2012
VAD
Real Valladolid
1 - 1
Valencia
VCF
27%
26%
47%
89 82 7 0
07 Nov. 2012
VCF
Valencia
4 - 2
BATE Borisov
BAT
80%
14%
6%
89 78 11 0
03 Nov. 2012
VCF
Valencia
2 - 0
Atlético
ATM
40%
25%
36%
89 91 2 0
30 Oct. 2012
SMR
Som Maresme FC
0 - 2
Valencia
VCF
15%
26%
59%
89 54 35 0

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2012
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
7%
16%
76%
93 80 13 0
10 Nov. 2012
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
82%
12%
6%
93 81 12 0
07 Nov. 2012
BYM
Bayern München
6 - 1
Lille
LIL
71%
18%
11%
93 88 5 0
03 Nov. 2012
HSV
Hamburger SV
0 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
10%
18%
73%
93 82 11 0
31 Oct. 2012
BYM
Bayern München
4 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
83%
12%
5%
93 78 15 0