Valencia vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAD
0 - 0
VCF
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
VCF
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VCF
1 - 3
GET
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 2
VCF
26%
27%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VCF
2 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
VCF
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |