Valence vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 0
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 2
LHA
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
NIO
1 - 0
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
VAL
3 - 0
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ANG
0 - 2
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ASN
2 - 0
LUS
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASN
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 1
ASS
42%
28%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
LHA
0 - 0
ASN
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |