Valence vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
LMU
3 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
REI
2 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 1
TFC
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
IST
2 - 2
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 1
FCG
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
MET
0 - 0
NIO
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
MET
1 - 0
ASB
68%
21%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CLE
2 - 1
MET
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
MET
1 - 1
ASS
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
NIO
2 - 0
MET
29%
27%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |