Valence vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
LUS
2 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 3
ASS
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ASN
1 - 1
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
VAL
3 - 1
FCG
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
LHA
1 - 0
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 1
SED
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AMI
1 - 0
LOR
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 3
LUS
65%
21%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2004 |
ASN
1 - 1
LOR
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |