Valence vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CHA
3 - 0
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
RCE
0 - 0
VAL
7%
17%
76%
|
67 | 25 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 0
IST
43%
27%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
STL
2 - 2
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 1
SED
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
4 - 2
NIO
57%
24%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 1
NIO
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
NIO
2 - 2
ASN
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
NIO
0 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |