Valence vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1998 |
ESW
1 - 0
VAL
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAE
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
GUI
0 - 2
VAL
63%
24%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
VAL
1 - 1
SED
47%
26%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
CHA
5 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
NIO
3 - 1
FCG
44%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIO
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
NIO
0 - 0
STL
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
RED
2 - 0
NIO
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
NIO
0 - 0
LIL
44%
29%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |