III Divisao Round 12

Valecambrense vs Avanca analysis

Valecambrense Avanca
14 ELO 30
0.4% Tilt 3.6%
20926º General ELO ranking 20925º
354º Country ELO ranking 353º
ELO win probability
15.5%
Valecambrense
21%
Draw
63.6%
Avanca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
Valecambrense
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.6%
Win probability
Avanca
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Valecambrense
Avanca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valecambrense
Valecambrense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2011
VAL
Valecambrense
1 - 3
AD Sanjoanense
SAN
12%
20%
68%
15 57 42 0
27 Nov. 2011
SAM
Sampedrense
4 - 2
Valecambrense
VAL
74%
16%
10%
16 24 8 -1
13 Nov. 2011
VAL
Valecambrense
1 - 1
AD Nogueirense
ADN
11%
18%
71%
13 39 26 +3
06 Nov. 2011
CAN
Canas de Senhorim
2 - 3
Valecambrense
VAL
41%
24%
35%
13 11 2 0
30 Oct. 2011
VAL
Valecambrense
1 - 2
Bustelo
BUS
14%
20%
67%
13 29 16 0

Matches

Avanca
Avanca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2011
AVA
Avanca
4 - 0
Penalva Castelo
PEN
44%
24%
32%
28 31 3 0
27 Nov. 2011
SAN
AD Sanjoanense
0 - 0
Avanca
AVA
80%
14%
6%
27 57 30 +1
13 Nov. 2011
AVA
Avanca
4 - 1
Sampedrense
SAM
52%
23%
25%
26 25 1 +1
06 Nov. 2011
ADN
AD Nogueirense
1 - 2
Avanca
AVA
74%
16%
10%
25 39 14 +1
30 Oct. 2011
AVA
Avanca
4 - 0
Canas de Senhorim
CAN
82%
12%
6%
25 11 14 0