Valdehornillo A vs Castilblanco A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdehornillo A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PUL
2 - 1
VAL
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
FMO
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ZOR
0 - 1
VAL
9%
17%
74%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PGA
2 - 2
VAL
9%
16%
76%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 0
SBA
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castilblanco A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 0
PGA
54%
21%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SBA
5 - 2
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
LOG
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
MON
23%
22%
56%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ZUR
4 - 0
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |