Copa Simón Bolívar . Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Vaca Díez vs Independiente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
64.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaca Díez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VAC
2 - 0
LIB
94%
5%
2%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 1
VAC
5%
11%
84%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
VAC
2 - 2
ORU
20%
24%
57%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
ORU
2 - 4
VAC
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VAC
3 - 0
SUC
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
HUA
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
HUA
0 - 0
IND
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
IND
5 - 0
CHA
89%
9%
3%
|
65 | 14 | 51 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 2
IND
6%
14%
81%
|
65 | 14 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
IND
3 - 1
QVM
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |