V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vegalta Sendai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
TOK
1 - 1
VVA
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
VVA
1 - 0
AVI
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
VVA
2 - 1
TOK
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
REN
0 - 4
VVA
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VVA
1 - 2
KAR
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vegalta Sendai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CON
1 - 3
VEG
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SAG
2 - 1
VEG
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
VEG
1 - 1
SHO
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VEG
2 - 2
KAW
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
VEG
1 - 0
KAT
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |