V-Varen Nagasaki vs MIO Biwako Kusatsu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 1
VVA
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 0
VVA
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VVA
3 - 1
FUJ
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
VVA
1 - 0
YOK
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 2
VVA
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
MIO Biwako Kusatsu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MIO
3 - 3
PAR
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MIO
1 - 2
SAG
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
KAM
0 - 1
MIO
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MIO
1 - 2
HON
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ZWE
2 - 2
MIO
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |