V-Varen Nagasaki vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
REN
1 - 2
VVA
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VVA
0 - 0
OMI
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VVA
0 - 2
VEG
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
GRU
0 - 4
VVA
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
VVA
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
ROA
1 - 1
JEF
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
JEF
0 - 1
BLA
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
JEF
1 - 0
FAG
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TOK
1 - 0
JEF
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
JEF
0 - 3
OIT
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |