UVS vs Pancratius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UVS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
UVS
0 - 2
NIE
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 0
UVS
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UVS
0 - 1
SCN
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UVS
3 - 2
FCB
41%
23%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GDA
0 - 5
UVS
36%
23%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pancratius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 1
PAN
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 4
PAN
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAN
4 - 1
NIE
49%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 1
ADO
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SCN
2 - 1
PAN
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |