Utrera vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
48.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
MAL
3 - 0
UTR
84%
12%
4%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRA
37%
28%
34%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
UDS
1 - 1
UTR
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
CCF
4 - 0
UTR
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
UTR
3 - 0
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
RJA
1 - 1
VEL
72%
18%
9%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
CCF
2 - 1
RJA
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
RJA
1 - 1
MMA
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
RJA
2 - 2
VEL
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
YEC
0 - 1
RJA
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |