Utrera vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
MON
1 - 1
UTR
62%
24%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
UTR
4 - 1
COR
31%
29%
40%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
UTR
0 - 1
ALG
29%
30%
42%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
AYA
1 - 0
UTR
59%
25%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
UTR
0 - 2
MAI
38%
30%
32%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1994 |
BAL
0 - 2
LUC
60%
23%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
LUC
1 - 1
ATC
35%
28%
36%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
UDR
1 - 0
LUC
59%
23%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
LUC
1 - 0
JER
47%
28%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
ASJ
1 - 2
LUC
55%
24%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |