UTC Cajamarca vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 0
UTC
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
UTC
1 - 1
SBO
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 0
UTC
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 2
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 2
UTC
53%
25%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
ALI
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
6 - 0
SAM
66%
21%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
GAR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 0
SAM
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
VAL
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |