UTC Cajamarca vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
UTC
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 2
ALI
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
GAR
0 - 1
UTC
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 0
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
UTC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
SPC
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
VAL
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
COM
3 - 0
BOC
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
COM
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |